CFA says Bank says Franchises 4 times more successful?

December 1, 2008

waynestateuusdeptcommerce1In a Blue MauMau post called Canada’s Misleading Franchise Success Rate Claims, Lionel Hutz PA quotes Ms. Lorraine McLachlan, president and CEO of the Canadian Franchise Association, as claiming:

McLachlan said that a recent study released by BMO [Bank of Montreal] indicated that nearly four times as many franchises succeed compared to independent small business.

“When you go into an established system, which is the hallmark of a franchise, the probability of success is obviously incrementally increased,” McLachlan said. “The fact that there are more than a couple of locations currently operating using that brand, using that system, suggests that it’s not a flash in the pan and that there is some history that it will succeed.”

… “in economic times such as these, the fact that you are dealing with an established system that has predictable success means that the bank in all likelihood is going to look somewhat more favourably on your application,” McLachlan said. “In many cases, the franchisor will help you work with the bank.”

The full article can be found at The Sudbury Star.

This is problematic because the franchise industry historically has been very loose with their success/failure statistics. Indeed this is what Dr. Timothy Bates of Wayne State University had to say:

Knowledgeable scholars who study franchising issues routinely express contempt for the failure rate statistics publicized by franchisors.

Francine Lafontaine, for example, states ‘one of the major selling points of franchising to franchisees over the years has been the statistics vehiculated by the trade press on the very low failure rates of franchised businesses compared to independent operations. These statistics never had real scientific basis’ (p. 14, 1994).

Such criticism does not deter the industry.
– Survival Patterns among Franchisee and Nonfranchised firms started in 1986 and 1987, U.S. Department of Commerce, p. 6.

I am unaware of any study since that time that would contradict this.

UPDATE

BMO Bank of Montreal: I had telephone conversation with Steve Iskierski, Senior Manager, National Franchising Services for BMO Bank of Montreal. Iskierski was unaware of the basis for this 4 times notion and their is certainly no study that he is aware that BMO has. He was unclear as to why Ms. McLachlan of the CFA would quote that figure and ascribed it to reporter misquotation.

Canadian Franchise Association: Emailed for copy of report. No response.

The Sudbury Star: Left a message for Janice Leuschen. No response.


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